New Poll Shows Emmer with “Staggering” Lead in GOP Primary

TomEmmerHeadshotTom Emmer, the Republican endorsed candidate for Congress in the 6th Congressional District has a “staggering” lead over his potential rivals in the Republican primary election, according to a poll released this morning from Emmer’s campaign.

  • 94 percent of likely primary voters have heard of Emmer, with 81 percent having an opinion of Emmer.
  • 71 percent of likely voters have a favorable view of Emmer, while 10 percent view him unfavorably.
  • 16 percent have a favorable view of Phil Krinkie, with 6 percent viewing him unfavorably (22 percent have opinion of Krinkie).
  • 11 percent have a favorable view of Anoka County Commissioner Rhonda Sivarajah, with 3 percent viewing her unfavorably (14 percent have an opinion of Sivarajah).
  • Key question: On the primary ballot test, Emmer receives 73 percent of the vote, with Sivarajah receiving 5 percent and Krinkie 4 percent. Among self-identified strong Republicans, Emmer receives 78 percent with – 6 percent divided between Krinkie and Sivarajah.
  • Emmer’s support is even stronger when likely primary voters learn he’s the GOP-endorsed candidate – 79 percent voting for Emmer – 4 percent Sivarajah & 3 percent for Krinkie.

The poll results show Emmer continues to dominate in the 6th Congressional District race and one top Republican official complimented Emmer’s campaign strategy.

“Tom has run a smart, unifying campaign and that’s what the numbers reflect,” said Chris Tiedeman, a public affairs consultant and Republican National Committeeman from Minnesota. “Republicans in the 6th Congressional District and across the state want to get a handle on wasteful spending, and repeal and replace ObamaCare. Republicans know Tom will be a leader on this issues,” added Tiedeman.

The poll was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and is a survey of 300 likely Republican primary voters and was conducted on April 16-17, 2014. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 5.66%.

Below is the memorandum released by Emmer’s campaign. Please check back to for additional analysis on the 2014 elections.

6th CD Poll Results – Emmer for Congress by Michael Brodkorb

UPDATE: Rhonda Sivarajah released the following statement from her campaign:

I am actually thrilled to have the lowest unfavorable rating of all three candidates in the 6th District race! Tom Emmer has the highest unfavorable rating of all candidates in his own poll which his campaign paid for. This is a perfect example of a David vs. Goliath contest.

The state of Minnesota did not want Tom Emmer as their Governor, the GOP party faithful did not want Tom Emmer to represent them at the Republican National Committee, and as voters in the 6th District become more intimate with Emmer’s extremely questionable positions on important issues they will not want him as their Congressman either.


  1. I wonder if Emmer’s team incorporated Murphy’s Law data into their polling methodology. Incorporating Murphy’s Law into the polling would account for the very real likelihood of Tom, Fitzy or his team stepping into a political pile of poop before the primary. Given Emmer’s sizeable lead in this poll I am left to assume that Murphy’s Law data was omitted. I might have only one eye (because I left one of them on the rocky beaches of Grenada fighting for your freedom), but even I (no pun intended) can see the flawed methodology in this poll.

  2. Phyllis Diller says:

    Given Tom and Fitzy’s driving records, “staggering” is an appropriate adjective.

  3. Tea Party Potentate says:

    Noticeably absent from these numbers is Emmer v.Graves or Emmer v.Generic DFL candidate.

  4. Pingback: Daily Brief: Wednesday, Apr. 23rd, 2014 - DFL SD 48 ~ Democrats of Southern Minnetonka and Eden Prairie

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