New polls from KSTP/Survey USA shows tight races for the U.S. Senate and governor in the closing days before Election Day. Governor Mark Dayton is leading Republican Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson 47 percent to 42 percent. U.S. Senator Al Franken is leading Republican Mike McFadden 51 percent to 40 percent.
The survey of “likely and actual voters” has a margin of error of +/-4.1 percent and was conducted Oct. 27-30.
“Independents often swing elections and Mark Dayton had a lead among independents and that lead is now gone,” says Larry Jacobs of the University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute after reviewing our survey data. Independents are often a volatile block of voters. Two weeks ago Dayton led Johnson by six points among independents. Now he trails by 12.
McFadden has pulled even with Franken among independents, each with 39 percent. Franken led by 17 points a month ago. But McFadden still lags far behind among female voters. Franken leads 53 percent to 38 percent among women and by just seven points, 49 percent to 42 percent, among men.
There’s one other interesting note from our survey. The Senate race is tied 44 percent to 44 percent in northeastern Minnesota. The governor’s race is tied 45 percent to 45 percent in that key area of the state.
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